BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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St Francis PA

Class: 1B Class Rank: 50 Conference: Northeast Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  113.69

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Away    L   117.79  31  41   1B  17 (  6-  5) Montana                 4.26    -14.26                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L   104.45  28  35   1B  64 (  4-  7) Towson                 -9.08      2.08                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    W   104.93  13   9   1B  91 (  3-  7) Columbia               -8.60     12.60                      
  4 09/24/2016 Away    L   108.37   9  20   1B  34 (  7-  4) Albany NY              -5.16     -5.84                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    W   111.77  52  10    2 142 (  1-  8) Malone                 -1.76 *   43.76                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    W * 108.38  24  10   1B 108 (  2-  9) Robert Morris PA       -5.15     19.15                      
  7 10/15/2016 Home    W * 138.43  38   3   1B  70 (  5-  6) Bryant                 24.90     10.10                      
  8 10/21/2016 Home    W * 115.30  14  10   1B  54 (  8-  3) Duquesne                1.77      2.23                      
  9 10/29/2016 Away    W * 125.39  38  17   1B  81 (  6-  5) Sacred Heart           11.86      9.14                      
 10 11/12/2016 Home    W * 105.67  31  21   1B 100 (  2-  9) Central Conn St        -7.86     17.86                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    L * 103.14  24  31   1B  63 (  6-  5) Wagner                -10.39      3.39                      
 12 11/26/2016 Away    L   118.76  21  31   1B  15 (  9-  4) Villanova               5.22    -15.22                      
      Averages             113.53  26.9 19.8

Best game:  138.43 = 35 point win over Bryant
Worst game: 103.14 = 7 point loss to Wagner
Team stdev:  10.41